2010年7月12日 星期一

Paul the Octopus - 20100708

Till now, the most scintillating performance in the World Cup has been conducting outside the field, by an octopus called Paul.

Paul the Octopus, one of the pets lives in a German Aquarium, has been forced to predict each and every match Germany has been taken part. Paul got it right six out of six times. Supposing Germany could have 1/3 chance to win at each occasion (otherwise be it a draw or defeat), the chance of getting the correct prediction six -in-a-row is 1/729. i.e. 0.137%. Paul's achievement could not be underestimated.

In the world full of pundits, nothing seems to be more reliable than the gut feeling of Paul. Goldman Sachs tipped Brazil as the champion. Wrong. JP Morgan for England. No way. The list could go on. So, all those mathematical formulas and super computers are powerless in front of Paul the Octopus, the wizard of fortune telling.

How could Paul pick the food out from the winner's box? It is quite unnecessary to explore as the World Cup is coming to the end. Anyway, Paul the Octopus has left quite a prominent remark.

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